2012 指数及期货讨论贴

qunlbao

Market has become more overbought, I would do short sell every time market opens higher,
and close the position before 4:00PM.
and always short XJO not DJI, the reason is simple:
1.Strong AUD against USD, and US may have QE3 soon.
2.US has an election year, the share market should not be too bad.

hornsay

上些图，谈一下做多的理由.

日经指数：



三角形突破后向上。

hornsay

DAX: 三角形突破后。

hornsay

澳指在三角形的上边，可能会盘整后再突破。

hornsay

道指：感觉像有头肩底后突破，目前还在上升通道里。

hornsay

看多，然后小单做多，防止市场突变。

hornsay

出了日经@8733.5, 59点。

hornsay

long 澳指@4228.5.

qunlbao

Although DJI short term trend is up, I doubt it could last without a small pullback.
I would keep short XJO around 4250

[ 本帖最后由 qunlbao 于 2012-1-20 14:02 编辑 ]

f18

hope XJO shoot up around 4280ish, I would short from there. (paopaobing(3))

qunlbao

I guess today would have similar flat close like yesterday.
Reasons:
1.yesterday's trend shows the market is extremely overbought ,
profits taking started with slightly higher volume.
2.today's trend shows people want to secure profits ,especially on Friday.
3.Bank sector performs poor compare with mine sector, poor sectors usually
pullback first , strong sectors will follow then after last few days' run.
Let's see if we can get there.

f18

I agree that market is a little overbought, and this uptrend will be exhuasted to some point. we just do not know the timing..

qunlbao

原帖由 f18 于 2012-1-20 14:34 发表
I agree that market is a little overbought, and this uptrend will be exhuasted to some point. we just do not know the timing..

US market is also extremely overbought, but people are bit scared to short as you never know when the trend stops.
It could reach 13000,but I doubt it.
And one thing for sure is that once US drops ,our market will follow.
Also we start questioning about AU economy with new release unemployment rate,job cuts,squeezed retailer margin etc.
I don't think we would see a near strong report season.
So that's why I would like to short XJO instead.

[ 本帖最后由 qunlbao 于 2012-1-20 14:45 编辑 ]

f18

原帖由 qunlbao 于 2012-1-20 14:42 发表

US market is also extremely overbought, but people are bit scared to short as you never know when the trend stops.
It could reach 13000,but I doubt it.
And one thing for sure is that once US drops ,o ...

mate, as far as I am personally concerned is that investors confidence is fragile at the moment, I personally think that market drops much faster than it climbs up, so I wait a comfortable position to sell. but I personally think there are possiblities to make profit to go long at the moment, but just need to be more careful at this market level. All imo.

小小强

英文贴了， 看着大家好像啥都搞...
偶比较专一， 只搞英国  时间上合适day trade, 晚上能睡个好觉

czt81199

今天终于有空来。白天早上去买年花，下午去剪了头发。明天家里打搞卫生，然后贴春联。



12508的单子一直没有平，被套了。把止盈设置改为12488，不会12508的单子都不解套吧。

但美国真tmd牛逼，在老单子不解套前，绝对不加单。(paopaobing(3))

hornsay

老包心理素质好，跌到12300应该有不错的盈利。

czt81199

原帖由 hornsay 于 2012-1-20 21:29 发表
老包心理素质好，跌到12300应该有不错的盈利。

不是好，是无可奈何(paopaobing(11))

但无论如何，再牛的市场也会回调吧，100点真的不过分。

qunlbao

美国又开始逼空了，老套路。
我还是同样看法，逢高做空有利就图

czt81199

美国真死牛b死，不管了，13028挂了一个short单，如果能挂着，和12508一起，止盈都设置在12488.

真的很讽刺，现在欧洲问题就像一个巨大的利好，每次出消息，人们都一边叫嚷着完了完了，然后却一边买股票。加上美国大选和财报，这段时间美国跌的可能性比中lotto还小。

基本所有媒体都说欧洲一直在拖，错过了彻底解决欧洲债务问题的最好时机。其实我觉得，欧洲领导人的拖字诀已经取得巨大胜利，从市场现在的反应来看，就算连德国也债务违约，估计美国也不会跌。

hornsay

给各位拜年，祝大家龙年行大运，猪羊满圈，万事如意。

自由的心

白银大涨，是Eric Sprott （投资经理）动用自己的3亿美圆买走“实体白银”，带动了白银市场1天内上涨5%......
要是30亿美圆资金进场，一定购买“实体白银”，是不是可以把银价推回到历史高位......
30亿，对整个市场不是什么天文数字......关键要购买实体白银而不是纸白银

czt81199

大家好，新年给大家拜个年。

祝大家身体健康，龙年行大运！！！

Pz_majia

大家新年好，指数，货币，金属以及各种期权期货全都发发发！！！

zhaodongn

祝 大家身体健康， 新年快乐， 阖家幸福 。 万事如意,

更祝大家 2012 发发发..  ...

qunlbao

龙年行大运，short/long都发。

hornsay

大年初一，没有做交易，不过前几天long的澳指，澳币和欧元， 以及上个月的A50都已经是盈利了，希望龙年有好运。。

hornsay

美国昨天有点乏力，估计要做一个平台才可以继续上攻，一早把澳指出了@4244, 15点盈利。

homeandaway

原帖由 hornsay 于 2012-1-24 10:29 发表
美国昨天有点乏力，估计要做一个平台才可以继续上攻，一早把澳指出了@4244, 15点盈利。

开门大吉，不错啊。看情况应该会有个盘整。耐心等待

hornsay

原帖由 homeandaway 于 2012-1-24 14:14 发表

开门大吉，不错啊。看情况应该会有个盘整。耐心等待

觉得应该有个小的盘整或回调，short日经@8778.5, 目标8708。