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据2008年3月28日澳洲新闻联社报道，经济研究机构BIS Shrapnel预测，未来五年，澳洲房产价格可能再上涨40%左右。
BIS Shrapnel首席经济学家Frank Gelber表示，房屋需求仍超过供应，房屋承受力一而再再而三地下跌。目前，新建房数量已经减少了3万套，到六月份可能达到6万套，截止2009年中期，可能会高达129,000套。
利率不断上扬压制人们购房或自建房的需求，转而观望等待，不过一旦利率停止上升，或最终下跌，对房屋的需求大增可能会导致房屋价格再度快速上涨。
Gelber所引用的数据与澳洲统计局官方数据相一致。据澳洲统计局地产价格指数显示，截止2007年12月的过去10年澳洲房产价格平均每年上升9.9%。2007年房价指数上涨了12.3%。在1997之前的10年里，澳洲房价平均每年上升6%。综合前20年的数据，澳洲房产价格平均每年上涨7.9%。
House prices expected to rise by 40% - BIS Shrapnel
March 28, 2008 11:43am Article from: AAP
HOUSE prices are expected to rise by as much as 40 per cent across the country during the next five years, according to economic forecaster BIS Shrapnel.
BIS Shrapnel director and chief economist Frank Gelber said housing affordability, already at record lows, would sink even lower as demand continued to outstrip supply.
Mr Gelber said there was currently a construction shortfall of 30,000 dwellings, but has forecast that number would grow to 60,000 by June this year and 129,000 midway through 2009.
An environment of rising interest rates had compounded the problem with people choosing to wait before buying or building property, he said.
This also meant that when interest rates stopped rising or eventually started to fall, there would likely be a surge in demand for housing which could result in a price explosion.
"We've got rising interest rates suppressing any upswing in demand for housing ... and we need to wait now before that demand comes through,'' Mr Gelber said.
"But when it does, it will be very strong.''
The figures quoted by Mr Gelber are largely in line with Australian Bureau of Statistics data.
Calculations, based on the ABS established house price index, show that during the 10 years to December 2007, house prices rose an average of 9.9 per cent a year. The index rose 12.3 per cent in 2007.
In the 10 years before that house prices rose an average six per cent a year.
In the past 20 years they have risen an average 7.9 per cent a year. |
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关于花粉症的一些信息。 (2008-9-25) 海蓝蓝 
贴我们的新西兰游记换点米, 大家多捧场呀!! (2006-10-10) cheers 
发表于 2008-3-28 15:01
不要啊.
不过，这根房价好像关系不大。
