悉尼租房供应紧张 房租上涨将持续四年

villa

悉尼租房供应紧张  房租上涨将持续四年  





据2月19日《每日电讯报》报道，一份最新的研究报告警告，在未来的四年时间里，悉尼的租房危机将更趋严重。

该报引述分析机构BIS SHRAPNEL的报告称，由于本财政年度新城市公寓（Apartment）建造数字大幅下降，出租住宅市场将受到巨大压力。

报告的作者ANGIE ZIGOMANIS表示，自从两年前投资者离场观望之后，新屋建筑市场大幅萎缩。除非公寓发展商将手上的现货脱手，获得现金，才会继续建造新屋。因此，出租房供应将持续几年趋于紧张，可能会延续至2011年。

而经通胀调整后，截止去年六月，悉尼的平均房租仍然低于2000年6月高峰时的水平，近年出租房屋房租上升轻微，显示当出租房供应短缺问题越来越明显之后，房租会大幅上升，这情况在今年内就会出现，租客面对的环境将越来越严峻。

报告预计，悉尼的出租房租金每年将上涨约7.3%，即未来5年总共上升42%，出租房投资者可能要到明年年中才有较佳的回报。





Rents to jump for years



19 feb07    By Angela Saurine


SYDNEY'S rental crisis is set to worsen and sharp rises in rents will continue for at least four years as the city's housing supply shrinks, a report warns.

Rents will jump due to a dramatic fall in the number of apartments built this financial year, the report by industry analysts BIS Shrapnel says.

BIS Shrapnel is predicting apartment rents will rise 42 per cent in the five years to June 2011 - equating to an average of 7.3 per cent every year.

Report author Angie Zigomanis said, since investors began to leave the property market two years ago, off-the-plan sales, which trigger building, had fallen.

"Most new apartment developments won't go ahead until they have sold enough off-the-plan to get enough money to get finance,'' he said.

"At the moment there are no investors in the market to do those pre-sales. The lag between off-the-plan apartment sales and completion means that, even if investors do return, it would take some years before their purchases are translated to new rental supply. The deficiency of rental dwellings will potentially be sustained through to 2011 and beyond.''

Weak growth in the cost of rent in recent years would lead to sharp rises as a shortage of rental stock emerged this year. Rents would rise 7.3 per cent each year, or 42 per cent over the next five years.

But investors would have to wait until mid-next year to see a better return in property prices.

He said two to three years of rental growth was necessary before yields improved to a level which would draw investors back to the apartment market.

"In many instances the value of investment apartments in Sydney has declined in the past two to three years,'' Mr Zigomanis said.

Prices would remain static or decline marginally over the next financial year.

Mr Zigomanis said a peak in vacancy rates in 2003 and lower rental returns had deterred investors.

"A peak in vacancy rates lead to static rents and low rental returns which caused investors to beat a retreat,'' Mr Zigomanis said.

"Since investors have left the market, pre-sales which trigger construction have fallen away and new apartment completions have been drying up.

"Consequently, we expect new apartment completions will show a dramatic decline over 2006/07.''

In June last year, Sydney rents were 6 per cent lower than the June 2000 peak, adjusted for inflation, after showing increases below long-term trends.

Sydney's rental vacancy rate was 1.6 per cent in January, according to Real Estate Institute of NSW figures.

"While attention was focused on rising interest rates last year, the situation for tenants was steadily worsening,'' REINSW president Cristine Castle said.

"The NSW Government needs to take immediate action to encourage investors to enter the property market, which would provide more accommodation for tenants,'' she said.


http://townsvillebulletin.news.c ... 505%255E462,00.html




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yliu135

从长远来说，悉尼的房价不会有很大的增长空间。

Portal

谁知道

rdcwayx

那么，如果是这样的话，是否会使得买房的人增加呢？

coolyn

买房人增加，房价就又上去了？

kingpmp

现在悉尼的房价走得平缓，还稍有下降，如果利率再走低，可以考虑买房了。

villa

2007年二季度悉尼房价略降但房租飙升

不过，一些租客宁可债务累累，也不舍悉尼东区生活，一些富人区租房危机蔓延。