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原文 PM ditches 'hibernation' as recovery speeds up
Apr 26, 2020 – 6.45pm
Prime Minister Scott Morrison has shelved talk of a six-month economic "hibernation" and is nudging the states to allow more businesses to reopen before an official review of restrictions in less than three weeks.
Queensland and Western Australia on Sunday responded to weeks of low infection rates by taking their first steps to unwind strict social distancing rules, including for local travel and social gatherings.
In a boost to real estate activity, WA will allow 10 people to attend open home inspections.
The moves indicate the battered economy is poised to reopen faster than planned.
The government is leaving open the option of an early wind-back of the $130 billion JobKeeper wage subsidies for some businesses that return to more normal trading conditions.
The government will review the JobKeeper package before the end of June, the halfway point for the wage subsidies that are legislated to expire in September.
An analysis by The Australian Financial Review of the Prime Minister's public statements and media interview transcripts shows the last time he mentioned "hibernate" or "hibernation" of at least six months was on April 7 – almost three weeks ago.
The success in continually slowing the coronavirus infection rate has left Mr Morrison cautiously optimistic that, consistent with health advice, some business restrictions could be eased before a scheduled May 14 review by the national cabinet.
"That is going to be reviewed within the next three weeks," Mr Morrison said on Sunday.
"And if it is able to be done sooner than that ... on the basis of the medical evidence, then certainly we'd do that.
"It won't be long before we'll see more businesses opened up again and we'll try and get back to some type of normal."
A crucial precondition to businesses reopening would be about half the public downloading a new voluntary COVIDSafe-19 phone app that was launched on Sunday to quickly trace people who have come into contact with patients who test positive to the virus.
Federal and state governments on March 23 ordered the closure of registered and licensed clubs, licensed premises within hotels and pubs, entertainment venues, cinemas, casinos, nightclubs, indoor sport venues including gyms, and places of worship.
Restaurants and cafes are only able to serve takeaway, and many retailers closed due to a lack of customers.
Business leaders have also told the government a six-month hibernation would inflict too much economic damage and job losses that couldn't be recovered, so the long shutdown should be avoided if health circumstances permitted.
The government's epidemiology modelling shows the virus' effective reproduction rate (Reff) was already below the crucial threshold target of 1 before the level three restrictions were put in place in late March, and before some states adopted even stricter social distancing rules.
Reff below 1 means each infected person is infecting, on average, less than one person. This means the number of active cases should continue to fall.
Chief Medical Officer Brendan Murphy said high uptake of "well over half" of the new tracing app would help him convince national cabinet that Australia has the world's best public health response system to the virus before the political leaders consider relaxing restrictions.
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发表于 2020-4-27 11:31
发表于 2020-4-27 12:06
