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New Theory Explains Climate Changes
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SCIENCE NOTES
1. THE 60 YEAR CYLE: Dr Nicola Scafetta. John Dodds and others have observed the 60 year cycle. Mathematical statistical analysis of the data (using Fourier transforms) confirms its existence. John Dodds explained why it is due to variations in the gravitational energy from planets leading to irregularities in the pattern, and Dr Scafetta also found a correlation with gravitational forces. These irregularities also help to confirm the existence of the cycle because, when several nodes match with a high statistical probability the evidence is very compelling. Furthermore, application of the 60 year cycle predicted the maximum (1999-2000) above the long term 934 year cyclical trend. There should be one more 60-year maximum in about 2059 and then we can expect the long-term trend to decline for about 450 years.
2. THE PLANETS CAUSE THE CYCLES: Why are temperatures on Earth apparently following cyclical patterns that correlate with certain orbital events of the moon and the planets, primarily Jupiter, Saturn and to a lesser extent Venus? Consider, firstly, the effect of gravitational energy which the Earth receives from the moon. It pulls ocean waters forming tides and ocean currents. Recent research into wave generators shows that these could easily supply all of Australia's power requirements three or four times over - and that's from just a minute proportion of the waves hitting our shores, let alone the world over. The total energy received from the sun's heat and light is almost insignificant compared with the energy coming from the force of the sun's gravity upon Earth. There is also a gravitational force coming from each of the planets and these forces fluctuate as the distance varies. Now the Earth's distance from the sun does not vary anywhere near as much relatively as its distance from Jupiter in particular. The latter distance varies from about four times the distance of the Earth from the sun to about 6.5 times that distance. So, even though Jupiter is further away and smaller than the sun, the amplitude of the variations magnifies the effect of changes in the gravitational energy it imparts upon the Earth, and it is these changes that cause temperature variations partly through variations in frictional heat generated at the molecular level and partly through variations in the energy in the magnetic field and, possibly, solar winds. (See Science Notes 5 to 8.) It can be shown scientifically that a small portion of the energy coming from the gravitational force of the sun and planets is converted to heat and magnetic energy at the molecular and atomic levels. Probably less than 10% of all heat comes from the sun's radiation, or insolation as it is called.. Now, when Saturn is pulling in exactly the opposite direction to Jupiter, its gravity will reduce the effect of that from Jupiter. Then, as they continue in their orbits, there will be less of a reduction until, about 15 years later, Saturn will start to pull together with Jupiter, producing the strongest combined effect another 15 years later. Then, about 30 years later, the Earth will again be aligned between Jupiter and Saturn. This complete cycle is currently happening about every 59.6 years causing our "60-year" cycles which are superimposed on the 934 year long term cycle. Note that sunspots appear to correlate, but they are also caused by gravitational variations.
3. NO EVIDENCE OF EXTRA WARMING DUE TO CO2: Carbon dioxide continues to rise as shown here but temperature movements can be fully explained by the cycles which predicted the level or slightly downward trend we are now seeing here since 2003. The two 60-year cycles 1883-1943 and 1943-2003 exhibited exactly the same gradient with temperatures rising 0.3 deg.C in each 60 year period, even though there was much more CO₂during the second cycle. (The 934 year cycle explains the 0.3 deg.C rises.) Hence there is absolutely no empirical evidence of any effect on temperatures caused by man-made carbon dioxide at any time in the last 128 years. So the Greenhouse Gas Theory must be incorrect.
4. THE GREENHOUSE GAS FALLACY: The GHG theory considers heat (actually photons of electromagnetic radiation) coming from the sun. Some photons get through the clouds and heat the earth, or get reflected. Others from the surface are also sent into the atmosphere. These photons that go up from the surface have varying frequencies and some will encounter CO₂molecules though many more will encounter water vapour molecules. Warming occurs when the photon is delayed: in effect it is caught and released. The number of photons available will determine the amount of energy available, and thus the maximum amount of heat energy that can be generated. There is already more than enough CO₂and so any additional CO₂will not cause extra warming. The excess greenhouse gases cannot lead to any additional warming simply because energy cannot be created. If this were not so, then whenever it rains and humidity rises, warming would occur. This paper explains how the basic Greenhouse model has been grossly oversimplified because so much greenhouse gas is actually close to the surface and the heat captured there gets swept up by winds which take it to higher levels where it escapes to space. Professor Lindzen concludes that there is no cause for alarm. The whole picture is, however, even more complex due to energy from gravity which is discussed in the remaining notes below.
全篇报告的链接如下：
http://earth-climate.com/
[ 本帖最后由 yuxuanlin 于 2011-7-13 22:56 编辑 ] |
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不一樣的Canberra (2016-4-20) silvia 
发表于 2011-7-13 23:28
