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WESTPAC 预测12月份降息 25 个基点， 2012年全年降息 100个基点也就是 1% 直到 2013 年趋稳。。。。消息一出，澳币跌出107 US CENTS。。。 降息周期伴随的房价下跌。。物价回调。。。 GOOD NEWS OR BAD NEWS ? $A dives on forecast rate cut July 15, 2011 - 4:39PM AAP The Australian dollar tanked sharply in late trade, dropping below 107 US cents, after a major local bank said it expected the central bank to cut interest rates by Christmas. Westpac on Friday reversed its outlook for official interest rates, saying it now expects a series of rate cuts, starting with 25 basis points in December and continuing throughout 2012. The bank had previously forecast a rate rise in December. "We now expect a sequence of rate cuts beginning with 25 basis points in December 2011 and through 2012 totalling 100bps prior to a period of steady rates in 2013," Westpac said in a statement. The Australian dollar fell from 107.41 US cents at 1534 AEST to 106.93 US cents by 1615 AEST. "While the catalyst for the first rate cut is likely to come from offshore, we do not expect it to be a one off," Westpac said. "Interest rates are too high in Australia given the state of the non-mining sectors of the domestic economy and a downward adjustment is required to avert a damaging round of contraction. "This rate adjustment is likely to take a similar form to previous easing cycles." 链接如下： http://news.smh.com.au/breaking- ... 20110715-1hhj9.html [ 本帖最后由 澳巴一个 于 2011-7-18 11:38 编辑 ] |
