关于房价的思考和疑惑

phoebe0616

原帖由 Melbourner1978 于 2009-9-10 14:14 发表

我倒不这么看，这边还是市场经济，讲究供求关系，人人抢的地方肯定是有道理的，而且买potential区也是有一定风险的，也跟买股票一样，当然赌对了，赚回来的肯定多，不过选择房产投资的都是比较稳健的人士，这么玩的 ...

唉，这不是想玩啊，是穷人逼得没办法的办法啊……有银子老大，啪把银子一拍谁不会？为什么有些人看了两三套就买了一套人人都说漂亮的房子？为什么有些人看了几个月才下手？

wsedr

谢谢楼主的分分

patricb

Saturday September 12th 2009

Today has been one of the strongest auction days this year, the clearance rate remained above 80 per cent for the 18th weekend in a row and stock levels were very high for the year.

Today there were 674 auctions reported to the REIV of which 435 sold at auction and 119 sold before. There were 116 homes passed in, 67 of those passed in on a vendors bid. This resulted in a clearance rate of 83 per cent.

Next week another record number of auctions is scheduled, with just under 900 presenting plenty of choice for buyers. The week after is grand final weekend and a comparatively low number of auctions are scheduled.

Enzo Raimondo
CEO REIV



TOTAL AUCTIONS
This week: 674
Last Weekend: 551
This time last year: 514

Postponed: 0
Withdrawn: 2
Auctions with no result: 38

PS Private Sales: 769

Total Volume (Auctions): $385.76mil
Total Volume (Private Sales): $324.17mil

Total Auctions Houses: 449
Clearance Rate: 83%
Median Price: $640,000

Total Auctions Flats/Apartments: 205
Clearance Rate: 81%
Median Price: $455,000

Total Auctions Vacant Land: 20
Clearance Rate: 90%
Median Price: $211,000

wsedr

Total Auctions Houses: 449
Clearance Rate: 83%
Median Price: $640,000

house 不少啊，当然价也不少。。。

winsion

等这个月过去了再说吧。

patricb

Sunday September 20th 2009

This weekend had the highest number of auctions scheduled since 25th October 2008 when 942 homes were offered at auction and 53 per cent sold. The clearance rate this weekend was 82 per cent, which clearly represented a substantial improvement on last year and was even an increase on the year to date clearance rate of 81 per cent.

The Melbourne auction market has now recorded 19 weekends in a row with a clearance rate above 80 per cent and is matching the 2008 market performance since July.

There were 821 auctions reported this weekend, of which 528 were sold, 147 sold before and 144 passed in. Of the auctions passed in 82 were passed in on a vendors bid.

Next weekend the number of auctions drops due to the AFL Grand Final.

Enzo Raimondo

CEO REIV




TOTAL AUCTIONS
This week: 821
Last Week: 708
Last year: 647

S Sold at Auction: 528
SB Sold before Auction: 147
SA Sold after Auction: 2

Passed in: 144
Passed in on vendor's bid: 82
Clearance rate: 82%Postponed: 1
Withdrawn: 1
Auctions with no result: 36

PS Private Sales: 691

Total Volume (Auctions): $471.72mil
Total Volume (Private Sales): $287.99mil

Total Auctions Houses: 519
Clearance Rate: 81%
Median Price: $654,000

Total Auctions Flats/Apartments: 291
Clearance Rate: 85%
Median Price: $465,000

Total Auctions Vacant Land: 11
Clearance Rate: 82%
Median Price: $560,000

miller2

THANKS

Market is still Hot

patricb

Sunday September 27th 2009

There was a total of 135 auctions reported this weekend. Of the 135 reported a total of 113 sold and 22 were passed in, of those 10 were passed in on a vendors bid.
The auction market picks up again next weekend with 500 homes going under the hammer next week and nearly 700 the weekend after.

Enzo Raimondo

CEO REIV




TOTAL AUCTIONS
This week: 135
Last Week: 820
Last year: 30

S Sold at Auction: 80
SB Sold before Auction: 31
SA Sold after Auction: 2

Passed in: 22
Passed in on vendor's bid: 10

Clearance rate: 84%

Postponed: 0
Withdrawn: 0
Auctions with no result: 26

PS Private Sales: 615

Total Volume (Auctions): $60.32mil
Total Volume (Private Sales): $254.78mil

Total Auctions Houses: 77
Clearance Rate: 86%
Median Price: $560,000

Total Auctions Flats/Apartments: 57
Clearance Rate: 82%
Median Price: $445,000

Total Auctions Vacant Land: 1
Clearance Rate: 0%
Median Price: $0

person1128

consider too much, but lost your time and investmeng opportunite

suel

好贴啊.虽然我不会再买房子了,为了增长知识,与时共进,留个脚印继续看!(monkey35)

gyh

原帖由 Fernando 于 2009-9-9 13:34 发表
墨尔本附近的水资源够养活多少人？

我也考虑同样的问题。
我最怕的是在澳洲买了房，这里的气候变的让人能以忍受的酷热+干旱+没有足够的引用水，
如果人都想搬离这里，房子哪有什么升值或保值只说？？

[ 本帖最后由 gyh 于 2009-9-28 17:52 编辑 ]

sunflowerseed

我看澳洲大部分出租屋房子都是租给了外来人口. 如果外来人口都回流了或不来了,房市就难说了.

ilovefamily

原帖由 sunflowerseed 于 2009-9-29 11:09 发表
我看澳洲大部分出租屋房子都是租给了外来人口. 如果外来人口都回流了或不来了,房市就难说了.

看移民政策啦
认识好多留学生，都在做最后的挣扎，如果再考不了4个7，就真得回国啦。。。
他们现在有的拿旅游签证，拼命念雅思，有的拿过桥签证，拼命找有身份的假结婚。。。挺痛苦的。。。

zxart

原帖由 ilovefamily 于 2009-9-29 11:20 发表

看移民政策啦
认识好多留学生，都在做最后的挣扎，如果再考不了4个7，就真得回国啦。。。
他们现在有的拿旅游签证，拼命念雅思，有的拿过桥签证，拼命找有身份的假结婚。。。挺痛苦的。。。

我周围就有几个，考不出是不是要抛房子了？

ilovefamily

原帖由 zxart 于 2009-9-29 21:39 发表



我周围就有几个，考不出是不是要抛房子了？

考不出，就只能回国，因为pr办不了，澳洲也不给续签，再待着成黑民啦
回国就只能退房啦，都是租房的啊。。。。
身份还搞不定，谁敢买房啊。。

lululoveaa

原帖由 ilovefamily 于 2009-9-29 11:20 发表

看移民政策啦
认识好多留学生，都在做最后的挣扎，如果再考不了4个7，就真得回国啦。。。
他们现在有的拿旅游签证，拼命念雅思，有的拿过桥签证，拼命找有身份的假结婚。。。挺痛苦的。。。

我认识的没考四个7的，几乎都是选择继续读MASTER。。。

patricb

Sunday October 4th 2009

There were 490 auctions reported to the REIV this weekend of which a total of 414 sold, resulting in a clearance rate of 84 per cent.

The result this weekend added further weight to the REIV's September Property Update which showed the median price of a house had reached a new high of $520,000. Melbourne's increasing population combined with low interest rates and financial assistance for first home buyers has resulted in buyers facing strong competition to secure the home that they want and ultimately, higher prices.

Of the 490 auctions reported there were 81 passed in, 46 of those passed in on a vendors bid.

The REIV is expecting a mild increase in stock levels over the next two weeks with over 1200 auctions expected.



Enzo Raimondo

CEO REIV




TOTAL AUCTIONS
This week: 490
Last Week: 136
Last year: 484

S Sold at Auction: 414
SB Sold before Auction: 99
SA Sold after Auction: 2

Passed in: 79
Passed in on vendor's bid: 44

Clearance rate: 84%



Postponed: 0
Withdrawn: 1
Auctions with no result: 26

PS Private Sales: 806

Total Volume (Auctions): $250.31mil
Total Volume (Private Sales): $338.14mil

Total Auctions Houses: 308
Clearance Rate: 84%
Median Price: $605,000

Total Auctions Flats/Apartments: 161
Clearance Rate: 84%
Median Price: $481,500

Total Auctions Vacant Land: 17
Clearance Rate: 76%
Median Price: $620,000

元宝熊熊妈

还是很强劲啊

suel

请问下,上面的CLEARANCE 报告,UNIT是归在FLAT/APARTMENT里面还是HOUSE里面?

IL_DIVO

跌了就可以用现有的资金买多些房子，涨了已经买的房子也升值
但是结局来说，跌了最好。越跌现有的资金可以买的房子越多，持有货币增值，购买力更强。但是世界的大趋势就是货币贬值，所以我们拥有的房子会增值下去，而持有和将来会赚的货币就贬值下去，但所持有房屋的升值价值是敌不过货币现金的贬值价值，整体购买力削弱，部分钱变相化为乌有

patricb

原帖由 pooh210 于 2009-10-5 11:35 发表
还是很强劲啊

Need to observe or 1 few more weeks, as last Saturday's auction properties were not in big numbers,about 400 only.Will increse in next 2 weeks and be interesting to see.

patricb

原帖由 suel 于 2009-10-5 13:44 发表
请问下,上面的CLEARANCE 报告,UNIT是归在FLAT/APARTMENT里面还是HOUSE里面?

I think units are included in flat/apartments,as all in strata.

zxart

原帖由 ilovefamily 于 2009-9-29 22:52 发表

考不出，就只能回国，因为pr办不了，澳洲也不给续签，再待着成黑民啦
回国就只能退房啦，都是租房的啊。。。。
身份还搞不定，谁敢买房啊。。

不少留学生都买房的

沐雅

知道的几个以来就买房子的留学生, 人家都是不担心自己拿不拿得到PR的，
家里那实力摆在那里， 孩子拿不到PR,就办个投资移民呗,
哎, 国人有米的还是很多的...

billwong999

Lz怎么没更新这周的数据啊？千万不要放弃啊！

snowolivia

原帖由 sakesake 于 2009-8-26 19:36 发表

10年反一倍恐怕不太可能了吧，我的房子02年买的，现在打算卖7年时间也才涨了估计4分子1吧。

坚持住，说不定，再过三年，就涨了另外的三分之四了。。。。

patricb

Sunday 11 October 2009



The residential auction market recorded a result broadly in line with the overall performance this year, suggesting that increases in interest rates have already been included in purchasers' expectations.

There were 599 auctions reported this weekend, of which 492 sold, resulting in a clearance rate of 82 per cent. There were 107 homes passed in, 54 of which were passed in on a vendor bid.

There are a similar number of auctions scheduled next week.

Enzo Raimondo
CEO REIV

TOTAL AUCTIONS
This week: 599
Last Week: 486
Last year: 577

S Sold at Auction: 374
SB Sold before Auction: 118
SA Sold after Auction: 0

Passed in: 107
Passed in on vendor's bid: 54

Clearance rate: 82%

Postponed: 0
Withdrawn: 2
Auctions with no result: 53

PS Private Sales: 759

Total Volume (Auctions): $347.57mil
Total Volume (Private Sales): $347.79mil

Total Auctions Houses: 394
Clearance Rate: 82%
Median Price: $673,000

Total Auctions Flats/Apartments: 182
Clearance Rate: 84%
Median Price: $503,800

Total Auctions Vacant Land: 23
Clearance Rate: 70%
Median Price: $635,500

人尽其才

3，        利率和汇率的上升。
澳洲的利率基本确认走出下降通道，今后几乎肯定要升，现在只是在讨论何时升怎么升的问题。经济转好，通胀压力增大，利率上升不可避免，自然会影响贷款能力和购买力。另外经济转好，也意味着澳元可那走强，对境外投资者也是个抑制。

luckynumber

如果房价因汇率上涨而跌了，会不会正好抵消汇率的因素，对境外购房者来说正好不涨不跌，于是又有人开始买了？

patricb

Sunday 18 October 2009





This fortnight before the Melbourne Cup has the most auctions
scheduled this year and results from today show that demand remains
consistent with the performance in the last few months. The REIV
expects that whilst they will not welcome increases in interest rates,
most buyers will have priced into their budget.

There were 621 auctions reported this weekend of which 498 sold resulting in
a clearance rate of 80 per cent. A total of 124 homes were passed in,
of which 75 were passed in on a vendors bid.

Next weekend there are just over 1000 auctions scheduled which may
shift the balance in favour of buyers for the first time in the last
few months.






Enzo Raimondo
CEO REIV

TOTAL AUCTIONS


This Week: 621

Last Week: 598

Last Year: 578

S Sold at Auction: 498

SB Sold before Auction: 100
SA Sold after Auction: 3

Passed in: 124
Passed in on vendor's bid: 75

Clearance rate: 80%
Postponed:2
Withdrawn: 2
Auctions with no result: 42

PS Private Sales: 734

Total Volume (Auctions): $390.97mil
Total Volume (Private Sales): $313.3mil

Total Auctions Houses: 443

Clearance Rate: 80%


Median Price: $697,000

Total Auctions Flats/Apartments: 166Clearance Rate: 79%
Median Price: $505,000

Total Auctions Vacant Land: 17
Clearance Rate: 71%
Median Price: $370,000